Willem Groeneweg
De controversiële Yale-historicus Timothy Snyder gaf afgelopen week in Nederland een lezing over zijn vorige maand verschenen werk Black Earth. Tevens promootte hij dat met een interview in De Volkskrant en een lang opinieartikel in The Guardian. In Black Earth beschrijft Snyder de Holocaust met een speciale nadruk op Oost-Europa. De conclusies die hij hieruit trekt sluiten aan bij de zorgen die weleens vanuit linkse kringen worden geuit over het huidige Europa. De groei van vreemdelingenhaat en populistische bewegingen, die soms sterke verkiezingsoverwinningen behalen, zoals recentelijk in Polen, kunnen leiden tot het terugkomen van totalitaire staten. Soms wordt zelfs de vergelijking met het nationaalsocialisme gemaakt. Ook Snyder benadrukt sterk dat de Tweede Wereldoorlog dichterbij is dan we denken, maar de belangrijkste factor hiervoor zien veel mensen over het hoofd. Mocht het ooit tot nieuwe rassenvervolgingen komen, dan zullen deze het gevolg zijn van global warming.
Immers, wanneer we de oorzaken van de Holocaust echt goed bestuderen, stelt Snyder, dan zien we dat deze ecologisch van aard waren. Op basis van vage afleidingen uit Mein Kampf meent hij dat Hitler rassenstrijd als strijd om gelimiteerde grondstoffen opvatte en de ‘ecologische spanningen gepaard gaande met globalisering’ projecteerde op de Jood. Hitlers ‘ecologische paniek’ uitte zich in de creatie van Lebensraum in het oosten, die gepaard ging met een verregaande volkerenmoord. Met een strak gezicht beargumenteert Snyder dat een van Hitlers grootste tekortkomingen het negeren van onderzoek in de duurzame landbouw was. Westerse staten maant hij aan om meteen te beginnen met een verantwoord milieubeleid om de effecten van klimaatverandering tegen te werken. Dat is de beste manier om de bedreigingen van huidige agressieve staten, Rusland en China, tegen te gaan. Ruslands gevaar schuilt in het stimuleren van Syrische vluchtelingenstromingen om de Europese staten te ondermijnen en ons rijp te maken voor annexatie. Het overbevolkte China least landbouwgrond in Afrika en jaagt daar de lokale bevolking weg, maar zal in de toekomst haar pijlen ook op prominentere doelen richten. Tenslotte, zegt Snyder, moeten we ook IS niet vergeten, wiens terreurcampagne een reactie is op de bevolkingsdruk, die voortkwam uit de aanhoudende droogte in het Midden-Oosten.
Veel recensenten prezen Zwarte Aarde om haar de scherpe en uitgewerkte beschrijvingen van de Oost-Europese gebieden in de Tweede Wereldoorlog, maar zien Snyders ecologische argumenten als een storende curiositeit. Losstaand van het feit dat Snyders argumenten veel te ongenuanceerd zijn, lijkt Snyders benadering voorbij te gaan aan de psychologische realiteit van racisme. Vijandbeelden worden tenslotte vormgegeven om de eigen identiteit te bevestigen en frustraties op een ander te projecteren. Om te zeggen dat zo’n algemene menselijke eigenschap als de haat voor een ander pas escaleert wanneer iets specifieks als ecologische belangen in het geding komen, is eigenlijk ronduit absurd. Zelfs indien Hitler zijn Jodenhaat motiveerde op ecologische gronden lijkt me deze motivatie eerder volgend op zijn antisemitisme dan andersom.
Snyder zelf meent dat we in Europa blind zijn voor de echte oorzaken van de Holocaust en daardoor haar waarschuwingsfunctie verloren gaat. Afgezien van het feit dat dit afkomstig is van iemand die deze tragedie gretig in een ecologisch programmapunt wil passen, lijkt me dit in het ergste geval getuigen van onbeschaamde hypocrisie en in het beste van een enorm gebrek aan zelfreflectie. Het is kenmerkend voor het huidige wetenschappelijk klimaat dat we de Yale-hoogleraar niet afdoen met een berisping, maar graag met hem in debat gaan en zijn ideeën als ‘controversieel tegengeluid’ een platform geven in onze kranten. Terwijl doemscenario’s zoals die van Snyder weinig nut hebben: we moeten niet vergeten dat dezelfde toekomstangst het belangrijkste werktuig voor de moderne populistische leider is. Wat we nodig hebben om de wereld te redden zijn geen nieuwe schrikbeelden, maar ouderwetse nuanceringen.
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